DeLay Will Lose
Tom DeLay won with only 55% of the vote in 2004 against an obscure Democratic candidate with little funding.
Now, after all of his legal problems, DeLay faces a former congressman in Nick Lampson (who was put into early retirement after he was successfully gerrymandered out of his district in 2004 by DeLay), who has only slightly less money on hand than the former majority leader.
According to Jon Tyler, a political science professor at St. John's University in Houston, a DeLay loss in the Republican primary would be "a shock of Biblical proportions." However, that doesn't mean that Republican candidates won't do their part in chipping away at DeLay's already tarnished image for the independent voters in the general election.
Ironically, DeLay's last race was so close due to his redistricting plan, in which he generously gave away Republican votes to nearby candidates who needed them more.